Shintaro Mochizuki vs Alex Rybakov Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• In the recent six months, Rybakov has gained 47.96% of points on his second serve compared to Mochizuki's 44.46%. Could this slight edge be crucial for Rybakov? Possibly, as second serve performance is a reliable match predictor.
• Analyzing return games, Mochizuki outperformed Rybakov by winning 48.28% of opponent's second serve points versus Rybakov's 43.56%. This also reflects in first serve returns, with Mochizuki at 29.22% and Rybakov at 25.61%. Is Mochizuki thus favored due to his stronger return capabilities? The stats suggest so.
• When facing break points, Rybakov's escape rate of 61.32% surpasses Mochizuki's 50.97%. This could be a decisive factor under match pressure.
• Over the previous year, Rybakov has won a higher percentage of matches (69.23%) compared to Mochizuki (58.33%). Does this indicate Rybakov's better overall current form? It seems likely.
• Grass is Mochizuki's preferred surface with a 58% win rate, whereas Rybakov excels on Indoor Hard courts, holding a 64% win rate.
• Both players have primarily competed in tournaments at the same level; Rybakov has maintained a slight 62.5% win rate over Mochizuki's 60% in these events.
• Assessment of opponent quality shows Mochizuki facing higher-ranked players (average rank 240.74) compared to Rybakov (average rank 365.9). Does this indicate Mochizuki's experience against tougher competition could be an advantage?
• In deciding sets, both players stand equal, each having won 57% of such matches over the last year.
• Rybakov is less effective at converting break points with a recent 29.02% conversion rate compared to Mochizuki's 35.14%.

Editorial Prediction (August 12, 2025, UTC):

The upcoming match between Mochizuki and Rybakov promises to be a compelling encounter due to their contrasting skill sets. Mochizuki's superior return game gives him a distinct edge, especially in neutralizing Rybakov's service games.

Rybakov, however, displays resilience when facing breakpoints, potentially turning critical moments in his favor. His overall winning rate in the past year suggests a consistent form on hard surfaces, which must be considered.

While both players show equal proficiency in deciding sets, Mochizuki’s experience against better-ranked opponents and his better breakpoint conversion rate provide him with the tools needed in high-pressure moments.

Based on these analyses, Mochizuki is slightly more likely to emerge victorious in this matchup, thanks to his capability of exploiting Rybakov's service vulnerabilities and better handling of high-stakes scenarios.